Jenga in reverse. Lift every balloon off the floor into the corner without letting one roll out.
Balloons differ. Some cling to their neighbors, some bounce right off. Squeeze one before you place it to get a feel for it.
Each spot's odds come from physics simulations with the hidden values drawn from the model's beliefs. The shaded band is its uncertainty and the line its best guess. A squeeze is a noisy reading that narrows the band.
| Forecast | Moves | Predicted | Held |
|---|
A well-calibrated model's predicted and held columns match. Brier score: lower is better, 0.25 is a coin flip.
OTLP JSON: one trace per move, grouped into a session by session.id. Send it to any OpenTelemetry collector.